Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.649935 6.175998 6.768149 7.492924 8.368938 9.411391 10.774864
2025-01-19 4.742263 5.376640 6.142284 7.160830 8.525840 10.370497 13.219392
2025-01-26 4.428271 5.193210 6.180079 7.609956 9.760707 13.168961 19.894420
2025-02-02 4.333108 5.254534 6.527262 8.553097 12.059598 19.015784 40.592529
2025-02-09 4.121231 5.118493 6.566945 9.049590 13.905933 26.069591 105.303146
2025-02-16 3.907787 4.944234 6.510871 9.367913 15.619857 35.883942 2286.358634
2025-02-23 3.691387 4.734886 6.360281 9.472650 16.965614 48.739329 NaN
2025-03-02 3.414030 4.403585 5.964100 9.014440 16.677020 54.069564 NaN
2025-03-09 3.232876 4.202900 5.759780 8.895564 17.296729 69.799452 NaN
2025-03-16 3.013645 3.925538 5.395550 8.378876 16.506941 71.166530 NaN
2025-03-23 2.913463 3.827569 5.329873 8.483831 17.773046 111.942777 NaN
2025-03-30 2.826362 3.742919 5.277000 8.605360 19.228342 223.622814 NaN
2025-04-06 2.661314 3.535851 5.010621 8.254636 18.978782 337.771499 NaN
2025-04-13 2.497418 3.322959 4.719819 7.811722 18.200817 422.162744 NaN
2025-04-20 2.461454 3.317554 4.810241 8.307529 22.074805 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.480601 3.405373 5.089827 9.397670 32.059186 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.441502 3.389633 5.164441 9.973962 42.001401 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.387060 3.342124 5.167394 10.345550 53.476423 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.319008 3.265039 5.098317 10.466097 64.070439 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.212477 3.112184 4.851702 9.918179 58.912271 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 2.140579 3.018667 4.727122 9.776046 63.244636 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 2.043157 2.874319 4.481738 9.166340 54.635548 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.999911 2.826699 4.444504 9.289282 65.367003 NaN NaN